TL;DR
China probes Nvidia H20 chips; OpenAI’s GPT-5 faces delays; Apple, Meta, Amazon boost AI spend.
Highlights
- China’s Cyberspace Administration has launched a cybersecurity probe into Nvidia ’s H20 AI chip, citing potential “backdoors”; Nvidia ’s 300,000-unit reorder is on hold pending U.S. export licenses 113.
- OpenAI is targeting an early August release for GPT-5, but development faces technical and cost challenges; improvements are incremental over GPT-4, with gains in coding, math, and agentic reasoning 212.
- OpenAI’s ChatGPT has surpassed 5 million paying business users, with enterprise subscriptions up 66% in July 7.
- Apple is increasing AI investment, forming an “Answers” team to build a ChatGPT-style answer engine, and is open to major AI acquisitions and higher data center spending 311.
- Meta , Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft spent $88B on AI infrastructure last quarter; 2025 capex is projected at $364B. Meta is moving $2B in data center assets to “held-for-sale” status to share costs 56.
- Amazon’s AWS growth lagged expectations, leading to an 8.5% stock drop despite record AI infrastructure spending 6.
- Alibaba released open-source Wan 2.2, a text/image-to-video model under Apache 2.0, triggering a price war in generative video tools 8.
- xAI launched Grok Imagine, a text-to-image and video generator, on X (Twitter), with a new funding round potentially valuing xAI at up to $200B 4.
- Meta failed to rehire AI veteran Andrew Tulloch despite a $1.5B offer, highlighting the premium for top AI talent and the appeal of startups 10.
- OpenAI plans to launch Sora 2 (with audio), an agentic browser, GPT-Image-2, an open-source model, and new subscription plans alongside GPT-5 1215.
- Industry-wide, AI progress is slowing as compute, data, and talent bottlenecks meet rising infrastructure costs 212.
Commentary
AI adoption and infrastructure investment remain robust, but the sector is facing rising technical, financial, and regulatory constraints 212. OpenAI’s GPT-5 is set for release with incremental improvements, reflecting broader industry slowdowns due to data scarcity, reinforcement learning challenges, and escalating compute requirements 212. Despite these headwinds, OpenAI’s business user base for ChatGPT continues to grow rapidly, indicating strong enterprise demand for current-generation models 7.
The hyperscalers—Amazon, Meta , Alphabet, and Microsoft—are maintaining record AI capex, but investor scrutiny is increasing as revenue growth lags infrastructure spending 56. Meta ’s move to offload $2B in data center assets and Amazon’s stock drop after underwhelming AWS growth highlight mounting pressure to balance investment with returns 56. Apple is responding to competitive gaps by raising AI spend, forming a dedicated generative search team, and signaling openness to larger AI acquisitions, aiming to catch up in generative tools and personal assistants 311.
Geopolitical and regulatory risks are intensifying. China’s investigation into Nvidia ’s H20 chips, designed to comply with U.S. export controls, underscores ongoing supply chain and market access uncertainties for AI hardware 113. These developments may accelerate efforts to localize supply chains and diversify chip sourcing for both Chinese and global players.
Product innovation remains active, particularly in generative video. Alibaba’s open-source Wan 2.2 has triggered rapid price declines and wider access to advanced video synthesis, intensifying competition for proprietary vendors 8. xAI’s Grok Imagine launch on X (Twitter) and the high valuation targets for xAI reflect continued investor interest in AI-powered content platforms 4. Meanwhile, the ongoing talent war—exemplified by Meta ’s failed $1.5B bid for Andrew Tulloch—shows that top researchers increasingly favor high-upside startups over established tech giants 10.